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  1. Unread post Mon 2nd Sep 2013 18:26 #21 / 28
    Brigadier General ratsy ratsy is offline now
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    If I estimate a 90% chance of elimination, I will almost always act.  However, if I estimate only 70%, I will act, or not, based on the current situation -

    How do you calculate this?

    "I shall pass this but once, any good I can do, or kindness I can show; let me do it now. Let me not difer nor neglect it, for I shall not pass this way again." -Stephen Grellet
  2. Unread post Mon 2nd Sep 2013 23:48 #22 / 28
    Colonel btilly btilly is offline now
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    ratsy wrote:
    If I estimate a 90% chance of elimination, I will almost always act.  However, if I estimate only 70%, I will act, or not, based on the current situation -

    How do you calculate this?

    I would assume he runs a simulation.

    I have a simulator written in Perl that is pretty bare bones, but good enough for me.  (Actually I use dynamic programming to produce exact answer for certain chains of actions, but that is still useful.)

    Every so often I think about porting to JavaScript and adding features, but then I ask myself why and don't.

  3. Unread post Tue 3rd Sep 2013 05:31 #23 / 28
    Brigadier General j-bomb j-bomb is offline now
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    {#emotions_dlg.nervous}{#emotions_dlg.rofl}

    a little drool never hurt anyone:)
  4. Unread post Wed 4th Sep 2013 06:51 #24 / 28
    Major General AttilaTheHun AttilaTheHun is offline now
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    Screw all this math talk. Winning takes blood, sweat, and the courage to go all in when the time is right

    :-)

    "If an incompetent chieftain is removed, seldom do we appoint his highest-ranking subordinate to his place" - Attila the Hun
  5. Unread post Wed 4th Sep 2013 18:04 #25 / 28
    Major General Thingol Thingol is offline now
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    Somebody's been hitting the hold'em tourneys again...

  6. Unread post Thu 5th Sep 2013 18:41 #26 / 28
    Lieutenant General itsnotatumor itsnotatumor is offline now
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    AttilaTheHun wrote: Screw all this math talk. Winning takes blood, sweat, and the courage to go all in when the time is right

    :-)

    +1  

    Crush your enemies,

    see them driven before you,

    and to hear the lamentation of their women.

     

    Oh, and the stuff everyone said about strategic positioning is good too.  =)

    Fortune favors the bold, and chance favors the prepared mind...
    Edited Thu 5th Sep 18:41 [history]
  7. Unread post Thu 5th Sep 2013 18:47 #27 / 28
    Brigadier General ratsy ratsy is offline now
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    Wait, what? We have women?

    "I shall pass this but once, any good I can do, or kindness I can show; let me do it now. Let me not difer nor neglect it, for I shall not pass this way again." -Stephen Grellet
  8. Unread post Thu 5th Sep 2013 19:26 #28 / 28
    Colonel btilly btilly is offline now
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    ratsy wrote:

    Wait, what? We have women?

    No, our enemies took ours.  That's why we need to crush them!

    (How is that for motivation?  And if it doesn't make sense to you th...oh look!  Syria!)

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